Alert: Negative Investment/Fundamental Signals (9/20/24)-Apollo Commercial Real Estate Fi (NYSE: ARI)

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Apollo Commercial Real Estate Fi (NYSE: ARI). Extremely significant negative changes in investment behavior have recently occurred: its shorter term price trend turned down, and the stock fell on very heavy volume.

Meaningful negative changes in Apollo Commercial Real Estate Fi (NYSE: ARI) fundamentals have recently occurred: the consensus estimate for December, 2025 decreased significantly, and significant quarterly earnings deceleration occurred.

In light of these highly negative signals we are reviewing our current Overall Rating of C. We would view the shares with caution pending completion of this review in the next several days.

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Current PriceTarget Research Rating

Reflecting future returns on capital that are forecasted to be above the cost of capital, ARI is expected to continue to be a modest Value Builder.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Fi has a current Value Trend Rating of C (High Neutral). This rating combines very contradictory signals from two proprietary PTR measures of a stock’s attractiveness. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Fi has a very high Appreciation Score of 94 but a poor Power Rating of 26, resulting in the High Neutral Value Trend Rating.

Recent Price Action

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Fi (NYSE: ARI) stock declined modestly by -1.6% on 9/20/24. The stock closed at $9.65. Moreover, this decline was accompanied by exceptionally high trading volume at 380% of normal. The stock has risen 1.5% during the last week but has been weak relative to the market over the last nine months.

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